This core theme includes:

I. Identifying key vulnerabilities of the European food system to climate change

• Integration of biophysical and socio-economic models to analyse the potential impacts of changes in agricultural policies and in other parts of the bioeconomy sector in Europe, under different climate change scenarios;
• Integrated risk analysis of European agriculture (and food systems, including food supply and value chains) under climate change: test responses to volatility both from natural and market phenomena;
• Understanding Europe’s role in international markets and its impacts on price volatility and global food security;

II. Identifying policy options to increase resilience of European food systems under climate change

• Develop contrasted scenarios (with or without climate change adaptation) including recognition of public perceptions on how food is produced and policy dialogue;
• Modelling the impact (economic, social and environmental impacts as well as impacts on global food security) of changes in the bioeconomy sector in Europe under different policy options;
• In partnership with the private sector, identifying options (policy and technological) for helping food systems (throughout the value chain and to the consumer) become resilient to external shocks resulting from climate change;
• Combine observations, experiments and modelling through the development of appropriate European research infrastructures.